Manuel Zelaya:  Defender of the Poor?
Originally published in Spanish by AJS's Honduran sister organization, la Asociación para una Sociedad más Justa, at:

http://asjhonduras.com/cms/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=92:manuel-zelaya-idefensor-de-los-pobres&catid=31:golpe-de-estado&Itemid=88

Before the military takeover in June, President Manuel Zelaya tried to present himself as a great defender of the poor, arguing that he was against the political and economic elite who have always manipulated the system to benefit a few. He maintained that he, in contrast to the elite class, wanted to listen to the voice of the people and amend the Constitution to benefit Honduras’ poorest. After the coup, “Mel” was viewed as a martyr whom the elite had unjustly kicked out of the country because he had tried to help the poor. The reality is that his 3.5 years as president were characterized by corruption, improvisation, and pathetic management of the money designated by the Poverty Reduction Strategy program of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to help the neediest. In light of these actions, we should consider Zelaya an enemy of the poor.

Poverty Reduction Strategy
In 2006, Honduras received a debt-forgiveness package of $4 billion. This quantity is almost equivalent to the GDP—all that the country produces in one year—and sufficient to help transform the country, reform the health and education systems or jumpstart thousands of micro-enterprises and provide irrigation systems to thousands of farmers.
These $4 billion were the payoff after 20 years of structural adjustment policies of the IMF. Honduras had to devalue its currency, eliminate subsidies for the poor, privatize state-owned enterprises, etc. The poor are almost always those who most suffer from the consequences of these policies. After twenty years of suffering with the promise of the alleviation of the deficit, they finally saw the light at the end of the tunnel.

In 2005, the administration of President Maduro and the civil society began to formulate plans for how to invest these funds in the most cost-efficient way. The only condition imposed by the IMF was that they must be spent according to the “Poverty Reduction Strategy.” During this year, those involved in allocating these funds had meetings all over the country where they presented hundreds of projects to be executed at the municipal level; Honduras’ civil society worked to present a comprehensive plan on the regional level. Many ideas were presented—some very good ones—and many expectations, but in the end it was up to the Zelaya administration to decide how to invest the funds when he took office in 2006. The table was set with excellent ideas and proposals from Honduras’ most knowledgeable experts, and money was available to put these ideas into practice.

However, in Zelaya’s second month of presidency, the teachers—the strongest association in the country—held a strike, demanding that their demands be met. The Zelaya administration did not have a funds budgeted to meet their demands and was faced with the choice of either making budget cuts or cracking down on corruption to recover the misappropriated funds. The strike lasted several days and included violence, leaving the government with a choice to make. The Zelaya administration knew where to find the money—from the Poverty Reduction Strategy funds. Zelaya proceeded to assure the teachers that he would meet their demands “without sacrificing anyone’s interests”—using money from the Poverty Reduction Strategy. The strike ended with the Zelaya administration having spent 70% of the$4 billion on salary increases for current teachers and health workers and nothing for professionals entering these fields. The other 30 percent went to small projects and bonuses distributed in rural areas with more political than practical ends.

In summary, Zelaya, who now presents himself as the defender of the poor, had in his hands the opportunity to transform the lives of millions of poor through new hospitals, high schools, computers, irrigation systems and micro-enterprise projects. In the end, 20 years of sacrifice benefited a few at the expense of millions and did not change anything. This irresponsibility should never be forgiven.

Minimum Wage
The minimum wage increase is one of the few examples in which Zelaya did something on behalf of the poor, although this too was influenced by political interests. The wage increased from $175 to $275 monthly—about a 60 percent increase—and business owners had only 15 days to adjust their budgets and implement the change. Many sources have said that the increase was necessary but do not agree with the way in which it was executed.

First, Zelaya approved a 60 percent increase in the midst of a global economic crisis. In December of 2008, many banks were bankrupt and many companies were deciding to close or consolidate their activities to cut losses. A 60 percent increase at this moment meant that Honduras frightened away new investments, and companies currently operating decided to cut down on or stop doing business in Honduras. According to the Honduran Counsel on Private Enterprise (COHEP), Honduras lost 15,000 jobs in little more than a day.

Second, in Honduras, a minimum wage increase is almost always considered and agreed upon by the working class and business owners. If they cannot reach an agreement, the State takes action. In this case, Zelaya made his decision without consulting labor syndicates, experts, or business owners. Thus, economists had no time to analyze the proposal or suggest ways to maximize the positive impacts and minimize the negative.

Finally, in Honduras the salaries of many professionals run parallel to the minimum wage. A university professor or a doctor might earn ten to twenty times the minimum wage, meaning that an increase of the minimum wage of $100 per month implies an increase for these professionals of $1,000 to $2,000 all at once. In the Autonomous University of Honduras, the new minimum wage policy resulted in a minimum wage increase of $40 million, an amount that neither the university nor the country could pay. As a result, a teacher’s strike caused the university to close for more than two months.

The minimum wage increase by the Zelaya administration is another example of a policy that could have been almost 100 percent positive for the poor. However, actions taken too quickly and poor decisions or those made with questionable intentions resulted in the loss of thousands of jobs, enormous wage increases for the upper-middle class, and thousands of university students who lost two months of class.

Corruption
During his campaign and in the rhetoric surrounding his presidency, Zelaya promised to put an end to corruption and to create the most transparent government in the history of Honduras. Clearly, this is not how his administration turned out.

Before becoming president, Zelaya was the director of the Honduran Fund for Social Investment (FHIS); during his administration of the funds, $40 million were “lost.” The Attorney General accused him of embezzlement, but Zelaya was able to avoid this accusation. No one ever discovered who kept the money.

The Zelaya administration was also characterized by several corruption scandals—the Minister of Health was accused during his first month of favoring certain pharmaceutical companies. Instead of requesting an investigation, Zelaya was the first to defend this action. Perhaps the worst scandal or at least the most blatant was the one involving Hondutel, the state telephone company. Zelaya named his personal friend Marcelo Chimirri as general director although he had no related work experience. A 2008 report by the Superior Court of Accounts (TSC) revealed cases of embezzlement and millions of lempiras lost due to fabricated “call centers” authorized by Chimirri. Once again, instead of ordering an in-depth investigation of the case, Zelaya sent government lawyers to Miami to defend his friend.

Poor Management of Public Funds
During his campaign, Zelaya also promised that he and his cabinet would travel only by bus in the same manner as the common Honduran. In the end, he spent millions of dollars on official trips in the presidential plane, unjustified consultants, and personal expenses.

In three years, Zelaya spent more than $1.6 million traveling in the presidential plane known as the “West Wind,” including at least 80 trips in September 2008. The coordinator of the Social Forum for the External Debt of Honduras (FOSDEH), Mauricio Díaz, denounced this action.

According to a memorandum from the Superior Court of Accounts, Zelaya also spent $4.2 million in consulting, $109,852 in personal expenses, and $1.6 million in professional costs without documentation. Although this report was issued by the de facto government and thus is questionable, these numbers are not unbelievable. With all the money spent solely on undocumented personal and professional costs, it would have been possible to construct 1,970 houses.

Finally, the Zelaya administration never presented a 2009 budget despite the pretext of the worldwide economic crisis. None of the other Central American governments followed the same reasoning; all created budgets with the thought that the crisis demanded a rational prioritization of expenses. Meanwhile, Zelaya invested millions of lempiras of public funds in a state-run newspaper, television station, radio spots, and demonstrations in favor of the government.

Intentions of Constitutional Change
In March of 2009, Zelaya began an effort to reform Honduras’ Constitution, announcing a referendum for Sunday, June 28. Zelaya used very powerful rhetoric to argue the necessity of a new Constitution. His speech was filled with assurances that he was fighting on behalf of the poor and against the corrupt elites, in favor of full citizen participation and that he wanted to listen to the voice of the weak. This rhetoric touched a nerve with the large majority of Hondurans who harbored resentment against the elite that had governed in the past. An evidence of Zelaya’s power is that many people still believed him even after his actions during the three years of his presidency said the opposite.

During the seven months that Zelaya was promoting the Cuarta Urna, or “Fourth Ballot Box,” church members, civil society, and other government officials asked for clarification on what exactly he hoped to achieve with the new Constitution. Their doubts centered around whether or not Zelaya simply wanted to remain in power and was attempting illegally to reform the Constitutional article that did not permit re-election. Zelaya never responded to these concerns with concrete answers, only with vague comments about listening to the poor. Given this and the national and international context, it is difficult to believe Zelaya and had no intention of remaining in power.

Conclusion
In conclusion, the rhetoric of Zelaya’s government was very powerful—defender of the poor, full citizen participation, and manipulation and corruption by the elite. His rhetoric was powerful because many of his criticisms of the system were true and awakened a very real resentment in the Honduran majority. The only problem was that his language did not line up with his actions. In contrast to his rhetoric of love for the poor, he mis-spent $400,000 million of Poverty Reduction Strategy funds that should have gone to transforming the health or education system. It was Zelaya who failed to build homes, defended the corrupt, and fabricated on-the-fly solutions to the most profound problems of the country. It is difficult to believe him and even more difficult to defend him.